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Montenegro vs Armenia

Mon 5 Oct, 18:45

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 57%

Montenegro

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 3.23 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Montenegro last 5 at home: 3W-0D-2L (scored 10, conceded 8)

5 Armenia last 3 away: 0W-0D-3L (scored 1, conceded 12)

6 H2H (5): even, 1D, avg 4.0 goals, BTTS 80%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Montenegro with an estimated 57% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (3.23-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Montenegro have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 at home (scoring 10, conceding 8), while Armenia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 3 away from home (scoring 1, conceding 12). The head-to-head is even (2 win each, 1 draws in their last 5), averaging 4.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 80% of meetings.