Sat 3 Oct, 16:00
The model favours Iceland with an estimated 62% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Iceland have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 (scoring 5, conceding 6), while Bulgaria have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 13, conceding 10).
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