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Poland vs Romania

Fri 2 Oct, 18:45

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 58%

Poland

Predicted Winner

2-1

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 Poisson xG model: 0.00 - 0.00

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Poland last 5 at home: 1W-3D-1L (scored 5, conceded 6)

5 Romania last 5 away: 0W-1D-4L (scored 3, conceded 9)

6 H2H (2): Poland lead 2-0 (0D), avg 3.5 goals, BTTS 50%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Poland with an estimated 58% win probability, based on market odds, a Poisson xG model (0.00-0.00 goals) and API-Football's statistical model. Poland lead the head-to-head 2-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 3.5 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. Poland have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 5, conceding 6), while Romania have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 3, conceding 9).