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Ukraine vs Northern Ireland

Fri 2 Oct, 18:45

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 38%

Ukraine

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 Ukraine last 4 at home: 3W-0D-1L (scored 6, conceded 4)

5 Northern Ireland last 5 away: 1W-1D-3L (scored 3, conceded 7)

6 H2H (2): even, 0D, avg 1.5 goals, BTTS 0%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Ukraine with an estimated 38% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Ukraine, so treat this one with extra caution. Ukraine have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 at home (scoring 6, conceding 4), while Northern Ireland have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 3, conceding 7). The head-to-head is even (1 win each, 0 draws in their last 2), averaging 1.5 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings.