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Albania vs Belarus

Sat 26 Sept, 18:45

🎯 AI Prediction

MEDIUM 58%

Albania

Predicted Winner

1-0

Predicted Score

Both Teams Score

Under

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

2 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

3 Albania last 5 at home: 2W-0D-3L (scored 5, conceded 6)

4 Belarus last 5 away: 2W-1D-2L (scored 7, conceded 10)

5 H2H (2): Albania lead 2-0 (0D), avg 3.5 goals, BTTS 50%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Albania with an estimated 58% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Albania lead the head-to-head 2-0 (with 0 draws), averaging 3.5 goals per game with both teams scoring in 50% of meetings. Albania have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 5, conceding 6), while Belarus have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 10).