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England vs Spain

Sat 26 Sept, 18:45

🎯 AI Prediction

LOW 44%

Spain

Predicted Winner

1-2

Predicted Score

Yes

Both Teams Score

Over

Over/Under 2.5

🔑 Key Factors

1 Signals diverge: apiFootball disagrees with the final pick

2 De-vigged market odds (6 bookmakers) included in the estimate

3 API-Football's own statistical model included in the estimate

4 England last 5 at home: 3W-1D-1L (scored 10, conceded 5)

5 Spain last 4 away: 4W-0D-0L (scored 7, conceded 1)

6 H2H (3): Spain lead 2-1 (0D), avg 3.7 goals, BTTS 100%

📝 Detailed Analysis

The model favours Spain with an estimated 44% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. Not every signal agrees here — API-Football's model leans toward a draw, while the blended pick still favours Spain, so treat this one with extra caution. England have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 at home (scoring 10, conceding 5), while Spain have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 1). Spain lead the head-to-head 2-1 (with 0 draws), averaging 3.7 goals per game with both teams scoring in 100% of meetings.