Fri 25 Sept, 18:45
The model favours Montenegro with an estimated 52% win probability, based on market odds and API-Football's statistical model. The model and the market land within a couple of points of each other here, which reinforces the pick. Montenegro lead the head-to-head 2-0 (with 1 draw), averaging 2.0 goals per game with both teams scoring in 0% of meetings. Montenegro have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 at home (scoring 8, conceding 9), while Cyprus have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 4 away from home (scoring 7, conceding 2).
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