Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets come as clear favorites in this matchup against Memphis Grizzlies who are having a catastrophic season. The Rockets are in excellent form with 5 straight wins and have a significantly better record of 43-29 compared to Memphis' 24-48. The key factor is Memphis' massive injury problems - they're missing Ja Morant, Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr. and 6 other key players. In their last 6 games, Memphis has averaged 119.7 points allowed per game, showing poor defensive performances. Houston has better defense (103.5 allowed in recent games) and more stable rotation. The direct matchup from January 27th ended 108-99 for Houston. Regarding the total, both teams have been playing under average recently - Memphis 233.3 (but with poor defense), Houston only 212.0. I expect Houston to control the pace and there won't be need for high scoring.

Houston is in excellent form with 5 straight wins, while Memphis has catastrophic injuries and form of only 1 win in last 5 games

Houston plays controlled basketball (212.0 average), and Memphis without key players won't be able to keep pace. Line of 226.5 is too high

With so many Memphis injuries and Houston's excellent form, 12.5 point difference is realistic. Houston won by 9 in head-to-head