Fri 20 Mar, 15:00
Amanda Anisimova enters this match as a massive favorite and all statistics justify this. The 75-position ranking gap (#6 vs #81) is enormous and represents the main factor. Anisimova is in fantastic form with 6 consecutive wins on hardcourt, including impressive victories against top players like Coco Gauff (6-1, 6-2) and Jasmine Paolini. Her hardcourt game is dominant - 6-0 in her last 6 matches. Tomljanovic is going through a difficult period with only 2 wins in her last 6 matches (33% success rate) and appears to be struggling with form. Her last victory against a quality opponent dates back to last month. This is an early round (R64) where upsets can happen, but the quality gap is too large. Anisimova has 9 days of rest which allows her freshness, while Tomljanovic played 3 days ago. I expect a dominant performance from Anisimova who will capitalize on her superior form and ranking.
Odds of 1.13 reflect reality - Anisimova is in a different league currently. Perfect hardcourt record against Tomljanovic's poor form.
Expecting a quick and one-sided match. Anisimova dominates against weaker opponents, and Tomljanovic lacks weapons to compete.
The quality and form gap is so large that I expect a 2-0 victory. Tomljanovic rarely goes to 3 sets (17% rate).