Mon 23 Mar, 20:00
Despite Zverev's poor form with three consecutive losses, the massive ranking gap (45 positions) and quality difference makes him a clear favorite. Čilić is going through a catastrophic season with only 33% wins and is currently on a 4-match losing streak. Particularly concerning is his losses to Moutet and Basavareddy, players well below his level. On outdoor hardcourt, Čilić has a disastrous 1-3 record in his last 4 matches, including heavy defeats to Sinner (6-2, 6-2) and Djokovic. Zverev, despite recent losses, is still the #4 player in the world with far superior technical abilities. His recent form shows struggles, but against a player of Čilić's current form and ranking, he should bounce back. Miami Masters is a prestigious tournament where top players like Zverev are expected to show their class. Čilić's only advantage could be experience, but his current form is too poor to pose a threat.
Despite low odds (1.14), Zverev's win is highly likely due to the massive quality gap and Čilić's catastrophic form.
Čilić's poor form suggests he won't be able to compete with Zverev, which should result in a relatively quick match.
Čilić's current form is so poor that it's hard to see how he could win a set against a player of Zverev's quality.