Thu 19 Mar, 20:00
Roma enters this match as favorites with odds of 1.70, reflecting a 58.8% probability of victory. Home advantage in the Europa League represents a significant benefit for Roma who have shown solid form in their last six matches with a 4-2 record. Particularly impressive has been their defensive stability with an average of just 0.7 goals conceded per match. Bologna comes in excellent form with a 4-1-1 record in their last six matches and an impressive attacking output of 2.2 goals per game. Their 4-1 victory against Red Bull Salzburg shows they can be dangerous in European competitions too. The key factor will be Roma's injuries - they're missing important attackers Dovbyk, Ferguson and Dybala, which significantly weakens their attacking options. Bologna also has injury problems, especially missing goalkeeper Skorupski and fullback De Silvestri. H2H statistics show a balanced relationship with one 1-1 draw in their previous encounter. BTTS odds are fairly balanced (2.00 for Yes), suggesting both teams have attacking qualities. Bologna has scored 17 goals away from home which is an impressive number, while Roma has a solid defense at home. An open match with goals on both sides is expected, but Roma should exploit their home advantage despite attacking problems.
Roma favorites with 1.70 odds, home advantage in Europa League and solid defensive form justify home win pick despite attacking problems
Bologna in excellent attacking form with 2.2 goals per match, Roma has attacking qualities at home, 2.00 odds suggest balanced chances
Bologna averaging 2.2 goals per match, Roma also productive at home, expecting open match with goals on both sides
1.17 odds for 1X reflect 85.5% probability, Roma rarely loses at home, safer pick considering European competition