Thu 26 Mar, 02:00
Golden State Warriors are clear favorites against Brooklyn Nets who are having a catastrophic season with only 17 wins. Warriors have significant quality advantage, but the key issue is Stephen Curry missing due to injury, which drastically affects their offense. Brooklyn is on a 5-game losing streak and has the worst offense in the league with only 101 points per game in their last 6 games. Warriors play better at home and should win, but without Curry it won't be easy to cover the large -11.5 spread. The total of 215.5 looks reasonable given Brooklyn's poor offense, but Warriors can compensate. Key factors are injuries for both teams, Warriors at home, and Brooklyn in free fall. I expect Warriors to win but Brooklyn to cover the spread due to the large handicap.
Despite Curry's injury, Warriors are far superior team to Brooklyn who has only 17 wins. They're even stronger at home.
Warriors average 117.8 points, Brooklyn allows 116.3. Total of 225 points is above the 215.5 line.
Without Curry, Warriors will struggle to cover large spread. Brooklyn can keep it close enough to not lose by more than 11.