Tue 24 Mar, 01:00
Toronto Raptors come to Salt Lake City as clear favorites against Utah Jazz who are having a catastrophic season. Jazz is on a 5-game losing streak with a terrible 21-50 record, while Raptors hold 5th position in the East at 39-31 and are fighting for playoff positioning. The key factor is that Jazz has a massive injury list including Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George, and Walker Kessler - practically their entire starting lineup. In their last 6 games, Jazz has been losing by an average of 14.3 points, while Raptors showed stability with a +1.8 average margin. Raptors are coming from a back-to-back situation which could affect energy, but Jazz is so depleted that this won't be decisive. The Over looks attractive as Jazz has a 100% over rate in their last 6 games averaging 242.7 points, while Raptors has an 83% over rate. The 12.5-point spread looks realistic given the difference in quality and form between the teams.
Raptors are a much better team with stable form fighting for playoffs, while Jazz has catastrophic season and massive injuries. Odds of 1.13 are justified.
Jazz has 100% over rate in last 6 games averaging 242.7 points. Despite poor defense, their games are high-scoring. Raptors also has 83% over rate.
Jazz is losing by average 14.3 points in last 6 games. With massive injuries and poor form, 12.5 spread is realistic for playoff-fighting Raptors.