Tue 24 Mar, 23:00
Charlotte Hornets are in a dramatically better situation than Sacramento Kings. Hornets are fighting for playoff position (37-34, 10th East) while Kings are practically eliminated (19-53, 15th West). Form tells the whole story - Hornets are 4-2 in last 6 games averaging 114.3 points per game, while Kings have catastrophic 0-6 record averaging only 109.5 points. Key factor is injuries - Kings are missing 7 players including stars like Sabonis, Westbrook and LaVine. Hornets have only 2 questionable players. The -17 spread looks big but Kings are in free fall with average loss margin of 12.8 points. Regarding total, my estimate is 224.9 points which is significantly under the 230 line. Kings have been allowing 122.3 points per game which helps the total, but their offense is weak (109.5 ppg). Hornets at home against a weak team won't force the pace.
Odds of 1.07 are low but safe. Kings are in catastrophic shape without key players.
My estimate of 224.9 is 5+ points under the line. Kings have weak offense, Hornets won't force pace against weak team.
Large spread but Kings lose by average 12.8 points. Without key players they could be blown out.