Sun 22 Mar, 15:15
Celta Vigo enters this match as clear favorites against relegation-battling Deportivo Alavés. The hosts sit 6th with 41 points, fighting for European places, while the visitors are 17th with just 28 points, only 5 points above the relegation zone. Form clearly favors Celta - in their last 6 matches they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, while Alavés has just 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. A key factor is the recent head-to-head where Celta won 1-0 away at Alavés, showing psychological advantage. Celta at home has solid attacking power averaging 2.0 goals per match in their last 6 games, while their defense is somewhat unstable conceding 1.3 goals. Alavés plays defensively averaging just 1.0 goals scored but with solid defense (0.8 conceded). However, Alavés' away statistics are concerning - just 3 clean sheets all season. Celta has significant injury problems with key players like Vecino, Moriba and Starfelt, which could affect their play. Nevertheless, home advantage, better form and motivation for European places should be enough for victory. I expect an open match with goals for both sides as both teams have 50% BTTS rate in recent matches.
Celta has significant advantage in form, league position and home venue. Recent victory against Alavés further boosts confidence.
Both teams have 50% BTTS rate in recent matches. Celta has unstable defense and Alavés must attack due to league position.
Celta has 67% Over 2.5 rate in recent matches and attacking power at home. Expecting open match with goals.
Safe option considering the large gap in quality and form between teams. Celta won't lose at home.